DS1 spectrogram: Adaptive Estimation of Graphical Models under Total Positivity

Adaptive Estimation of Graphical Models under Total Positivity

2210.15471

Authors

Jiaxi Ying,José Vinícius de M. Cardoso,Daniel P. Palomar

Abstract

We consider the problem of estimating (diagonally dominant) M-matrices as precision matrices in Gaussian graphical models. These models exhibit intriguing properties, such as the existence of the maximum likelihood estimator with merely two observations for M-matrices \citep{lauritzen2019maximum,slawski2015estimation} and even one observation for diagonally dominant M-matrices \citep{truell2021maximum}.

We propose an adaptive multiple-stage estimation method that refines the estimate by solving a weighted $\ell_1$-regularized problem at each stage. Furthermore, we develop a unified framework based on the gradient projection method to solve the regularized problem, incorporating distinct projections to handle the constraints of M-matrices and diagonally dominant M-matrices.

A theoretical analysis of the estimation error is provided. Our method outperforms state-of-the-art methods in precision matrix estimation and graph edge identification, as evidenced by synthetic and financial time-series data sets.

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