DS1 spectrogram: NPMixer: Hierarchical Neighboring Patch Mixing for Time Series Forecasting

NPMixer: Hierarchical Neighboring Patch Mixing for Time Series Forecasting

May 8, 20262605.07476

Authors

Jung Min Choi,Vijaya Krishna Yalavarthi,Lars Schmidt-Thieme

Abstract

Multivariate time series forecasting remains a challenge due to the complexity of local temporal dynamics and global dependencies across multiple variables. In this paper, we propose Neighboring Patching Mixer (NPMixer), a hierarchical architecture featuring a Learnable Stationary Wavelet Transform that adaptively learns filter coefficients to decompose signals into trend and detail components in a data-dependent manner. Our framework introduces a Neighboring Mixer Block that captures local temporal dynamics through a series of hierarchical MLP layers operating on non-overlapping patches.

Specifically, the mixer block utilizes MLPs to learn temporal patterns within and across these patches, expanding the receptive field to capture multi-scale dependencies. A Channel-Mixing Encoder is applied to high-frequency components to learn channel correlations while preserving the stability of the underlying global trend.

Extensive experiments on seven benchmark datasets demonstrate that NPMixer consistently outperforms state-of-the-art models, achieving better performance in 20 out of 28 ($71.4%$) evaluated experimental setups for MSE.

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