Learned Look-Ahead Splitting Rule for CART
2609.16440

Authors

Tianlin Liu,Ruichen Han,Lu Tian,Andrew Gao

Abstract

Classification and regression trees are typically constructed using a greedy splitting rule that maximizes the immediate reduction in prediction error at each node. Although this strategy is computationally efficient, it can miss splits that yield small short-term gains but create substantial downstream improvements after further partitioning.

We propose a look-ahead tree-building method that evaluates each candidate split by the prediction error reduction achieved after growing a conventional CART subtree below that split. Because the full look-ahead procedure can be computationally expensive, we also describe a smart look-ahead algorithm that learns downstream split values using node-level features.

The proposed framework preserves the interpretability of recursive partitioning while improving split selection in hierarchical or interaction-driven settings. We conduct a simulation study comparing conventional, full look-ahead, and smart look-ahead methods under several settings and apply the proposed methods to analyze two real data examples demonstrating the merit of the new methods.

Resources

Ray graphicRay graphicRay graphicRay graphic

Stay in the loop

Every AI paper that matters, free in your inbox daily.

Details

  • takara.ai
  • Custom AI and machine learning from the Frontier Research Team.
  • © 2026 takara.ai Ltd
  • Content is sourced from third-party publications.
Ray graphicRay graphicRay graphic