MUSE: Dependency-Aware Adaptation of a Frozen Vision Backbone for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting
2609.24441

Authors

Xinying Cai,Junkai Lu,Yuhan Zhu,Xiaoyun Yu,Xiangfei Qiu

Abstract

Multivariate time-series forecasting is essential to many real-world applications. Recent large vision models (LVMs) offer a promising paradigm by transferring cross-domain visual priors to time-series forecasting.

However, existing LVM-based methods face two key challenges: balancing independent visual representation spaces with cross-variable dependency modeling, and adapting vision backbones pretrained on natural images to the distinct temporal semantics of time-series images. To address these challenges, we propose MUSE, a dependency-aware adaptation framework built on a fully frozen pretrained MAE.

First, the Variable Context Refinement Module (VCR) aggregates shared temporal information within each variable and models cross-variable contextual dependencies while preserving independent visual spaces. Second, the Temporal-Periodic Refinement Module (TPR) performs lightweight refinement at different encoder depths and explicitly models across-period temporal dependencies and within-period periodic dependencies.

The two modules independently produce forecasts, which are fused through a learnable prediction-level gate. Experiments on 10 real-world datasets demonstrate that MUSE achieves state-of-the-art performance.

Resources

Ray graphicRay graphicRay graphicRay graphic

Stay in the loop

Every AI paper that matters, free in your inbox daily.

Details

  • takara.ai
  • Custom AI and machine learning from the Frontier Research Team.
  • © 2026 takara.ai Ltd
  • Content is sourced from third-party publications.
Ray graphicRay graphicRay graphic